Thursday, August 14, 2008

Anwar vs Mamak/Malay/Arab/Chinese

vs

I don't quite remember when was the last time BN had named a presently serving YB to stand for another election.
Its always something new during the time of Pak Lah. Maznah Mazlan, a YB in the Pahang State Legislative Assembly and an EXCO was made a Senator and thereafter a Deputy Minister. Well, there is no law against it though!
When the DPM made the annoucement, I was looking at the face and body language of Abdul Jalil, the UMNO head of Permatang Pauh. Many people thought it was supposed to be him.

Banyak pros and cons bila YB yang sedang berkhidmat dicalonkan untuk bertanding Pilihanraya Kecil begini. Kawasan yang hendak ditandingi bukan lah satu kawasan yang mudah. Anwar mungkin selesa di Permatang Pauh dan mungkin menang. Kes tuduhan liwatnya belum berjalan lagi dan pastinya akan mengambil masa yang lama. In the event Anwar disabitkan bersalah dan dipenjarakan semula (tiada sebatan kerana melebihi umur 50 tahun), kerusi Permatang Pauh akan kosong semula. Kalau ianya masih dalam eddah yang perlu diadakan semula PRKecil, maka ada lagi satu PRKecil. Wan Azizah sudah tidak boleh jadi calon kerana undang-undang tidak membenarkan YB yang letak jawatan bertanding dalam tempoh 5 tahun dari tarikh letak jawatan. Pastinya interesting nanti!

Kalau Arif menang, beliau akan ikut jejak Maznah sebagai YB Umno yang merasa duduk dalam dua Dewan serentak. Maznah di Pahang dan di Dewan Negara; Arif di Penang dan di Dewan Rakyat. Sesungguhnya mereka tergolong dalam orang-orang yang bertuah. Dapat dua elaun!

Well, members of the Pakatan Rakyat can't complain on that. So many of them are enjoying more than one allowances! Shut up!

I was told, 68.5% of the voters are Malays i.e 40,038 voters. 24.8% Chinese (14,490 voters) and 6.3% Indians (3,680 voters). During the 12th GE, BN got 16,950 voters and PKR got 30,348 votes i.e a majority of 13,398 votes to PKR.

I was also told, there are about 18,000 UMNO members in Permatang Pauh. Not all voted for BN in the the 12th GE, obviously. Maybe there prefer Azizah over an Ustaz (Modern) Firdaus. Now that it is Arif, with a tint of Mamak blood and a long time UMNO member will be able to get UMNO members to vote for him. Surely he should get more than 16,000 of the UMNO members if not all. (Some UMNO members might not be voters at all).

Arif speaks Mandarin and surely more Chinese will vote for him. If he can get 8,000 out of the 14,490 Chinese votes, he can win already! With the Mamak in Arif, surely that will get him some of the Indian voters. If he can get 2000 Indian votes, Anwar will be in trouble!

See the logic in choosing Arif Shah? He is of Indian origin declared a Malay with arabic name and speaks Mandarin! A true Malaysian! Good luck Arif!!! Watch your back!!!!

p/s From the Jangan Pandang Belakang series.
Like to share this sms :
" Nasihat pengundi Permtg Pauh kpd petugas BN kempen p/raya kecil: kalau hangpa nak mai sini, mai la, tapi jan lupa pakai pampers, sbb anwaq dok ganas la ni nak ligan pungkoq hangpa semua. Hangpa jgn pandang belakang....line clear..."

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